Rutgers
W-L: (28-27) PR = 93.4434Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 9 206 A North Carolina Central MEAC ( 0-13, 84.9) 5- 0 207 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 3- 4 207 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 11- 3 208 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 6- 4 213 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 0- 8 213 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 8- 2 214 H Murray State MV ( 2- 7, 89.9) 8- 5 214 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 2- 7 215 H Hawai'i BW ( 0- 7, 87.6) 25-16 219 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 1- 8, 86.9) 6- 0 219 H Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 5- 8 220 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 2- 3 220 A Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 0- 7 221 H UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 10- 3 227 A Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 10- 7 227 H Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 9- 1 228 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0- 2 228 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 1- 5 306 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 6- 5 307 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 1- 2 308 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 9- 3 310 A Saint Peter's MAAC ( 0- 2, 84.2) 16- 8 310 A Saint Peter's MAAC ( 0- 2, 84.2) 12- 3 313 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 2-12 314 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 1- 6 315 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 14-11 318 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 8- 0 318 H Fairleigh Dickinson NE ( 0- 3, 85.2) 17- 3 321 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 5-16 322 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 3-13 323 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 6-17 324 A Seton Hall BE ( 0- 5, 87.2) 14- 4 327 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 0- 9 328 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 6- 0 329 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 5- 7 331 H Wagner NE ( 0- 4, 90.0) 3- 2 404 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 0- 8 404 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 3- 5 405 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 5-11 407 A Lehigh PAT ( 1- 6, 89.1) 20- 5 410 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 10- 2 411 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 6- 9 412 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 7- 4 414 H Long Island University NE ( 0- 8, 88.4) 13-12 417 H Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 2-12 418 H Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 11-13 418 H Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 3- 4 422 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 10- 0 424 H Lehigh PAT ( 1- 6, 89.1) 8- 3 426 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 9- 8 426 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3- 9 501 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 10-11 502 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 5-10 503 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 16- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Tennessee 1- 9 -8 -4 - -3.79
206 A North Carolina Central 5- 0 5 8 - -2.85
207 H SE Louisiana 3- 4 -1 1 -1.52
207 H South Alabama 11- 3 8 2 +++ 6.20
208 A Notre Dame 6- 4 2 0 + 2.29
213 A Mississippi State 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.17
213 A North Texas 8- 2 6 0 ++ 5.76
214 H Murray State 8- 5 3 4 -1.24
214 A Mississippi State 2- 7 -5 -4 -1.17
215 H Hawai'i 25-16 9 7 + 2.39
219 H Bethune-Cookman 6- 0 6 7 -1.32
219 H Cal State Fullerton 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.36
220 A Utah 2- 3 -1 -3 1.62
220 A Loyola Marymount 0- 7 -7 -1 -- -5.90
221 H UC San Diego 10- 3 7 4 + 3.22
227 A Florida Gulf Coast 10- 7 3 3 -0.05
227 H Florida Gulf Coast 9- 1 8 5 + 3.47
228 A Florida State 0- 2 -2 -5 + 2.77
228 A Florida State 1- 5 -4 -5 0.77
306 A Maryland 6- 5 1 2 -1.45
307 A Maryland 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.45
308 A Maryland 9- 3 6 2 + 3.55
310 A Saint Peter's 16- 8 8 8 -0.50
310 A Saint Peter's 12- 3 9 8 0.50
313 A Indiana 2-12 -10 -4 --- -6.47
314 A Indiana 1- 6 -5 -4 -1.47
315 A Indiana 14-11 3 -4 +++ 6.53
318 H Boston College 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.22
318 H Fairleigh Dickinson 17- 3 14 9 ++ 4.99
321 H UCLA 5-16 -11 -5 -- -5.64
322 H UCLA 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.64
323 H UCLA 6-17 -11 -5 -- -5.64
324 A Seton Hall 14- 4 10 5 ++ 4.54
327 A Jacksonville State 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.93
328 A Missouri State 6- 0 6 2 ++ 4.10
329 H Penn State 5- 7 -2 -1 -1.22
331 H Wagner 3- 2 1 4 - -3.22
404 A Nebraska 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.02
404 A Nebraska 3- 5 -2 -6 + 3.98
405 A Nebraska 5-11 -6 -6 -0.02
407 A Lehigh 20- 5 15 4 +++ 10.45
410 H Michigan State 10- 2 8 4 ++ 4.40
411 H Michigan State 6- 9 -3 4 --- -6.60
412 H Michigan State 7- 4 3 4 -0.60
414 H Long Island University 13-12 1 6 -- -4.77
417 H Purdue 2-12 -10 0 --- -9.73
418 H Purdue 11-13 -2 0 -1.73
418 H Purdue 3- 4 -1 0 -0.73
422 H Texas State 10- 0 10 1 +++ 9.42
424 H Lehigh 8- 3 5 5 -0.04
426 A Charlotte 9- 8 1 0 0.60
426 A Louisiana Tech 3- 9 -6 0 -- -5.91
501 A Wisconsin 10-11 -1 -1 0.13
502 A Wisconsin 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.87
503 A Wisconsin 16- 2 14 -1 +++ 15.13
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Indiana 2-12 -10 -4 --- -6.47 327 A Jacksonville State 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.93 411 H Michigan State 6- 9 -3 4 --- -6.60 417 H Purdue 2-12 -10 0 --- -9.73 213 A Mississippi State 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.17 220 A Loyola Marymount 0- 7 -7 -1 -- -5.90 321 H UCLA 5-16 -11 -5 -- -5.64 322 H UCLA 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.64 323 H UCLA 6-17 -11 -5 -- -5.64 414 H Long Island University 13-12 1 6 -- -4.77 426 A Louisiana Tech 3- 9 -6 0 -- -5.91 206 A Tennessee 1- 9 -8 -4 - -3.79 206 A North Carolina Central 5- 0 5 8 - -2.85 219 H Cal State Fullerton 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.36 307 A Maryland 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.45 331 H Wagner 3- 2 1 4 - -3.22 404 A Nebraska 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.02 502 A Wisconsin 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H South Alabama 11- 3 8 2 +++ 6.20 315 A Indiana 14-11 3 -4 +++ 6.53 407 A Lehigh 20- 5 15 4 +++ 10.45 422 H Texas State 10- 0 10 1 +++ 9.42 503 A Wisconsin 16- 2 14 -1 +++ 15.13 213 A North Texas 8- 2 6 0 ++ 5.76 318 H Boston College 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.22 318 H Fairleigh Dickinson 17- 3 14 9 ++ 4.99 324 A Seton Hall 14- 4 10 5 ++ 4.54 328 A Missouri State 6- 0 6 2 ++ 4.10 410 H Michigan State 10- 2 8 4 ++ 4.40 208 A Notre Dame 6- 4 2 0 + 2.29 215 H Hawai'i 25-16 9 7 + 2.39 221 H UC San Diego 10- 3 7 4 + 3.22 227 H Florida Gulf Coast 9- 1 8 5 + 3.47 228 A Florida State 0- 2 -2 -5 + 2.77 308 A Maryland 9- 3 6 2 + 3.55 404 A Nebraska 3- 5 -2 -6 + 3.98 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 1- 9 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.46 -0.51
3 A North Carolina ( 0-13, 84.9) 5- 0 -15.04 4.33 0.74 0.46 4.64
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 3- 4 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.46 -1.60
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 11- 3 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.46 10.18
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 6- 4 -6.91 12.46 0.74 0.46 12.10
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 0- 8 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.46 -0.60
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 8- 2 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.46 11.61
3 H Murray State ( 2- 7, 89.9) 8- 5 -9.96 9.41 -0.74 0.46 7.95
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 2- 7 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.46 -0.60
3 H Hawai'i ( 0- 7, 87.6) 25-16 -12.32 7.05 -0.74 0.46 5.78
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 1- 8, 86.9) 6- 0 -13.04 6.33 -0.74 0.46 5.12
3 H Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 5- 8 -5.08 14.29 -0.74 0.46 -1.33
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 2- 3 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.46 -0.88
3 A Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 0- 7 -6.10 13.27 0.74 0.46 -1.23
3 H UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 10- 3 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.46 8.37
3 A Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 10- 7 -10.24 9.13 0.74 0.46 9.04
3 H Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 9- 1 -10.24 9.13 -0.74 0.46 7.68
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0- 2 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.46 -0.39
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 1- 5 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.46 -0.39
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 6- 5 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.46 9.59
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 1- 2 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.46 -2.04
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 9- 3 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.46 9.59
3 A Saint Peter's ( 0- 2, 84.2) 16- 8 -15.70 3.67 0.74 0.46 4.04
3 A Saint Peter's ( 0- 2, 84.2) 12- 3 -15.70 3.67 0.74 0.46 4.04
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 2-12 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.46 -0.67
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 1- 6 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.46 -0.67
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 14-11 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.46 15.07
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 8- 0 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.46 8.37
3 H Fairleigh Dick ( 0- 3, 85.2) 17- 3 -14.72 4.65 -0.74 0.46 3.58
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 5-16 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 0.46 -0.25
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 3-13 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 0.46 -0.25
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 6-17 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 0.46 -0.25
3 A Seton Hall ( 0- 5, 87.2) 14- 4 -12.66 6.71 0.74 0.46 6.83
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 0- 9 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.46 -1.01
3 A Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 6- 0 -9.10 10.27 0.74 0.46 10.09
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 5- 7 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.46 -1.30
3 H Wagner ( 0- 4, 90.0) 3- 2 -9.94 9.43 -0.74 0.46 7.96
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 0- 8 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.46 -0.11
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 3- 5 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.46 -0.11
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 5-11 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.46 -0.11
3 A Lehigh ( 1- 6, 89.1) 20- 5 -10.75 8.62 0.74 0.46 8.58
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 10- 2 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.46 8.54
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 6- 9 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.46 -2.30
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 7- 4 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.46 8.54
3 H Long Island Un ( 0- 8, 88.4) 13-12 -11.48 7.89 -0.74 0.46 6.55
3 H Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 2-12 -5.45 13.92 -0.74 0.46 -1.42
3 H Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 11-13 -5.45 13.92 -0.74 0.46 -1.42
3 H Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 3- 4 -5.45 13.92 -0.74 0.46 -1.42
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 10- 0 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.46 11.31
3 H Lehigh ( 1- 6, 89.1) 8- 3 -10.75 8.62 -0.74 0.46 7.22
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 9- 8 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.46 11.47
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 3- 9 -7.11 12.26 0.74 0.46 -1.46
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 10-11 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.46 -1.22
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 5-10 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.46 -1.22
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 16- 2 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.46 12.87
------
211.98
|
winning pts = 236.7380 losing points = -24.7592
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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